[SMM HRC Daily Review] Regional Inventory Decline? Can HRC Demand Improve?

Published: Jun 18, 2025 17:21
Today, HRC futures prices saw a slight increase, with the most-traded contract closing at 3102, up 0.32% for the day. Trading activity was moderate throughout the day, with HRC quotations in major cities rising by 5-10 yuan/mt compared to yesterday, and overall trading volume was average. On the news front, macro-wise, the US-Japan trade negotiations fell through, with Trump and Ishiba failing to reach an agreement. On the fundamental side, the impact from HRC maintenance this week was 67,600 mt, a decrease of 66,200 mt WoW. The supply pressure for HRC continued to increase. According to data released by SMM today for Shanghai, Lecong, and Ningbo, inventories all saw slight declines. Inventories are expected to perform moderately this week. Downstream demand has shown some resilience compared to before. Overall, cost support remains relatively stable this week. Attention should still be paid to the impact of the Israel-Iran conflict on the ferrous metals series. Based solely on fundamentals, it is expected that the most-traded HRC contract will continue to fluctuate mainly within the 3000-3140 range.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
Feb 6, 2026 18:30
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
Read More
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
Before the holiday, the black chain is unlikely to see a trend-driven market [SMM Steel Industry Chain Weekly Report].
This week, ferrous metals were in the doldrums, with coking coal and coke staging a mid-week rise. At the beginning of the week, financial markets experienced sharp fluctuations, dragging down sentiment in the ferrous chain and leading to a pullback in futures. Mid-week, Indonesia's cut to coke production quotas drove coking coal and coke futures to lead the gains, though the impact was more pronounced on thermal coal, while coking coal's rise was largely sentiment-driven and short-lived. In the latter part of the week, finished products continued their seasonal inventory buildup, and support from the raw material side weakened, causing the entire ferrous chain to pull back. In the spot market, with the Chinese New Year holiday approaching, purchasing activity slowed down further, with end-users only making limited, as-needed purchases at low prices.
Feb 6, 2026 18:30
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
Feb 6, 2026 18:09
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
Read More
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
MMi Daily Iron Ore Report (February 6)
Today, the DCE iron ore futures continued to hit bottom today, with the most-traded contract I2605 closing at 760.5 yuan/mt, down 1.23% from the previous trading day. Spot prices fell by 5–10 yuan/mt compared to the previous trading day.
Feb 6, 2026 18:09
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
Feb 6, 2026 17:41
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
Read More
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
[SMM Chromium Daily Review] Inquiries and Transactions Weakened, Chromium Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday
[SMM Chrome Daily Review: Trading and Inquiries Weakened, Chrome Market Showed Mediocre Performance Before the Holiday] February 6, 2026: Today, the ex-factory price of high-carbon ferrochrome in Inner Mongolia was 8,500-8,600 yuan/mt (50% metal content), flat MoM from the previous trading day...
Feb 6, 2026 17:41